Welcome to Political Watch, the weekly article series which will help explain what the government has been up to. We watch so you can understand.
It’s been a busy week with politics and another terrorist attack, so lets rewind and catch up on the week that’s past.
CNT has a number of election related resources across our site, click below for more;
CNT is Holding candidate debates, if you want to submit a question you can do that here
Terrorism Strikes the City, Again
On the 4th of January, a Improvised Explosive Device exploded at the Park Rangers Headquarters in Vinewood. CNT currently understands that it was a motivated attack apart of an on-going antigovernmental terrorism plot, allegedly by a lone-wolf actor. According to police;
CNT has a article on the attack, including a press conference given at the incident site shortly after it happened available here
The Campaign Catch Up
Andrew Johnson and Jennifer Sallison, running for Governor and Lt. respectively, held a campaign kickoff event. You can watch the event and read their introductions here
Cole Gordon and Oliver Hall have released their Campaign Platform, you can read it here
The Tod Campaign has released their, simplified platform. You can read it here
Travis Ray, candidate for the legislature, held an hours long ‘Ask me Anything.’ you can see the whole event here
As of the 4th of Jan, Tyler Syring has dropped out of the Representatives Race, leaving twelve candidates left. Before retiring from the race he held at ‘Ask me Anything event’ which you can watch here
Mohn Nash, current representative and is re-running for office has endorsed Cole Gordon for the Governorship
Candidate Kaori Prince is holding a ‘Party at the Chateau’ today
Travis Ray has received a number of targeted criticisms from a counter-narrative campaign against his election efforts. He was also targeted with criticisms by Owner of Weazel News.
Cole Gordon Campaign has also been the target of visual advertisement and social advertisement using the hashtag #ObeyGordon
A number of political posters were ‘burned’ according to a source on social media.
And that’s your catch up on this week’s events.
The First Round of CNT's PolitiPoll
CNT conducted the first round of political polling to establish a baseline impression before the campaigning really started. The Governor’s candidates first impressions were tightly held with only a few percentage points between the top two candidates. Here is our analysis of the Governors Results.
Johnson Campaign voters are very much more likely to prefer for Vlad Tod then Cole Gordon as a second preference for Governor
Gordon Campaign voters are equally split on a second preference between the remaining two candidates.
Tod Campaign voters are more likely to support Gordon as a second preference, rather than Andre Johnson.
2. Previous Elections
Andre Johnson voters mainly supported Paxton over Stiletto in the last Governor Election, however 40% of respondents didn’t vote in the last governors election.
Cole Gordon voters overwhelmingly supported Paxton in the last election, however 47.1% of respondents didn’t vote in the last election
Vlad Tod voters supported Paxton slightly over Stiletto, however by only 8%.
Comparing the difference between all the campaigns, Stiletto voters in the last election mainly support the Vlad Tod campaign, and don’t support the Andre Johnson campaign. Paxton voters overwhelmingly support the Gordon and Johnson campaigns.
3. Age Demographics
63.9% of respondents were aged 18-29/30.
45.4% of people aged 18-29/30 supported the Vlad Tod campaign, 37% supported Cole Gordon while 17.6% supported Andre Johnson’s campaign.
28.4% of respondents were aged 30-49/50.
47.9% of respondents aged 30-49/50 were Cole Gordon supporters, 27.1% were Vlad Tod supporters.
4.8% of respondents were aged over the age of 50.
This data group isn’t large enough to make proper estimates.
4. Location Demographics
34.9% of respondents were from Vinewood, and another 34.9% were from Los Santos (City and Southside.) 13% were from Del Perro and 10% were from localities in Blaine County
Voters who preferred Andre Johnson were mainly found in Los Santos, Vinewood and Del Perro
Voters who preferred Cole Gordon were mainly found in Los Santos, Vinewood and Del Perro, however holds the largest pocket of voters from Blaine County
Voters who preferred Vlad Tod were mainly found in Vinewood and Los Santos. Del Perro is seemingly unsupportive of the candidate with more Blaine County Voters preferring Mr Tod.
5. Gender Demographics
Andre Johnson’s campaign has more identified female and gender-fluid voters, overall a more gender balanced response
Cole Gordon’s campaign has more identified males supporters than the other candidates.
Vlad Tod’s campaign has more identified female voters then the Gordon campaign, but still less than the Johnson campaign.
6. First Preference Voting Intentions
40.2% of voters put Cole Gordon as their 1st prefered candidate
39.1% of voters put Vlad Tod as their 1st prefered candidate
20.7% of voters put Andre Johnson as their 1st preferred candidate.
7. Voting Intentions for the First Preference in the legislature
Andre Johnson voters are more likely to prefer; Hudson Welsh, Becks Lawson and Grace Stone as their first legislature preference
Cole Gordon voters are more likely to prefer; Mohn Nash, Hudson Welsh, Endeavour Jackson and Becks Lawson as their first legislature preference
Vlad Tod voters are all over the place with their first preferences, With nearly equal slices going to Grace Stone, Jordan Malone, Endeavour Jackson and Becks Lawson, all (12 current and 1 retired) candidates are preferred by at least two or more voters in the Vlad Tod campaign.
Here is out analysis for the State Representatives (Legislature) Race, to note, we are using data from first preferences only for demographic calculations;
Alwin Ozias voters mainly reside in the Los Santos area, either in the City or Southside. They are predominantly male and would vote for Cole Gordon.
Becks Lawson voters mainly reside in either Vinewood or Del Perro. 15% reside in Blaine County. 57% of voters are male, and 33% female (9.5% preferred not to say, no other option was recorded)
Endeavour Jackson voters reside in a number of locations, with the most in Del Perro and the City/Southside. Endeavour holds a sizable amount of votes from Blaine County, however it isn’t the largest. 70% of Endeavours voters are male.
Grace Stone voters mainly reside in the Southside/City. Has a large support in Paleto Bay. Stone has the largest gender-diverse supporter base.
Hudson Welsh voters mainly reside in Vinewood with nearly 50% of voters reporting there. 28% live in Los Santos and a small fraction live in the County. 40% of voters are female and 53% are male.
Jacob Wheeler’s voters mainly live in Blaine County, with 57% living in Sandy Shores. The rest live in parts of the city. The voter base is almost exclusively male.
John Woods voters are predominantly based inside city limits and are mainly male
Jordan Malone voters are mostly in Vinewood with 50% saying they lived there. There is also a small group identifying living in the ‘Barrio’ which is located in the Southside. Malone has the highest percentage of voters over the age of 70
Josh Zimmerman voters only live in the City, not a single first preference vote was recorded outside city limits. Zimmerman has an equal number of male and female voters.
Kaori Prince voters overwhelmingly live in the city, however 25% of voters live in Paleto Bay
Mohn Nash voters also overwhelmingly live in the city, with 58% only living in the City/Southside. 29.2% live in Vinewood. 33% of Nash voters are female, and 58% identifying as male. Nash also has a high percentage (not a majority) of over 50 voters.
Travis Ray voters solely exist in the city with most in vinewood. Travis Ray voters are almost exclusively male.
Campaign Platforms. What's needed from candidates
Platforms are ‘manifestos’ from campaigns which outline what Governor candidates stand for and what their goals are if elected. On the CNT site we have pages for every candidate currently running in the election. All the information is provided by the candidates. As of the publication of this piece only one of the three candidates have released a campaign platform that is publicly viewable and actually covers policy topics in depth, rather then headline toppers
The Gordon Campaign released a eight page platform and agenda to CNT outlining all their core policies.
The remaining two candidates so far have only provided CNT with their ‘three R platforms.’ They are one liners that somewhat explain a stance, but really don’t offer depth on policy. Whether they choose to release a full policy list is up to them, but not releasing what they are doing comes with the detriment that people won’t know what they stand for.
Laika Robinson v. Los Santos Police Department
A lawsuit against the Los Santos Police Department was resolved after a court proceeding.
The lawsuit alleges during the winter snow flurries, Laika Robinson was struck by a Los Santos Police Vehicle being driven by current Lieutenant Governor Candidate Jennifer Sallison.
Yesterday the court ruled that the Los Santos Police Department pay up $60,000 in punitive damages. The court’s opinion is;
According to the Shoeman Lawyers who represented the plaintiff, “This is the largest settlement in state history.”
John MacLamar is now set to be the next Chief Justice of San Andreas after a vote on Sunday Night confirming the candidate.
Nominations for Five candidates was lodged early this morning. They are nominations for the State Library Board of Directors. The people nominated are;
Currently Lt. Governor and Lt. Governor Candidate Karmen McKenzie. Jeb Manbroni, who is the owner of Cockatoos. Mohn Nash, who is a sitting representative fighting for re-election. Ramses Thompson, owner of CNT and Ruben Merritt who is the chief financier of Plutus Financial.
H.R. 073, H.R. 075 and H.R. 077 have all been voted on, passed and signed into law